SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Hereford United |
57.95% ( -0.08) | 23.53% ( 0.02) | 18.53% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.19% ( 0) | 51.81% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.43% ( 0) | 73.57% ( -0) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.36% ( -0.03) | 17.64% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.76% ( -0.05) | 48.24% ( 0.05) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.95% ( 0.07) | 42.05% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.52% ( 0.06) | 78.48% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 57.93% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 18.53% |
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