Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.