Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.