Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.