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National League North | Gameweek 31
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium
BP

Gloucester City
5 - 1
Bradford Park Av

McHale (2', 75'), Digie (13'), Obadeyi (49'), Phillips (69')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dockerty (15')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Bradford Park Avenue.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 4-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 2-1 Bradford Park Av
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawBradford Park Avenue
48.74% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 24.38% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.88% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 55.52% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.34% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)46.66% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.07% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.93% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)19.21% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.1% (-0.012 -0.01)50.9% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Bradford Park Avenue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)31.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.64% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 48.74%
    Bradford Park Avenue 26.88%
    Draw 24.38%
Gloucester CityDrawBradford Park Avenue
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 48.74%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 6.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brackley Town 4-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-2 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-2 Gloucester City
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Leamington
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 1-1 Gloucester City
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 2-1 Bradford Park Av
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-0 Chorley
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 3-2 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-1 Kettering
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-2 Bradford Park Av
Sunday, January 1 at 1pm in National League North


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