Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Gloucester City in this match.
