Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.