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National League North | Gameweek 17
Jan 9, 2021 at 3pm UK
Whaddon Road, Cheltenham

Gloucester City
3 - 2
Kidderminster

Marsh-Brown (29'), McClure (64'), Young (75')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Freemantle (6'), Austin (12')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Kidderminster Harriers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.

Result
Gloucester CityDrawKidderminster Harriers
38.38%25.08%36.54%
Both teams to score 57.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.97%46.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67%68.33%
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3%23.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18%57.82%
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31%24.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78%59.22%
Score Analysis
    Gloucester City 38.38%
    Kidderminster Harriers 36.54%
    Draw 25.07%
Gloucester CityDrawKidderminster Harriers
2-1 @ 8.48%
1-0 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 6.06%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.05%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 11.78%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.07%
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-1 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 5.73%
1-3 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 0.97%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 36.54%

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