SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gloucester City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
44.57% ( 2.02) | 24.56% ( 0.01) | 30.87% ( -2.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.62% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.88% ( -0.84) | 45.11% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.53% ( -0.81) | 67.46% ( 0.8) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.65% ( 0.56) | 20.35% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.25% ( 0.88) | 52.74% ( -0.89) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( -1.69) | 27.65% ( 1.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% ( -2.23) | 63.2% ( 2.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.46)2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.57% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.32) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.87% |
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