SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Peterborough Sports win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
51.55% ( 0.11) | 24.61% ( -0.05) | 23.84% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.9% ( 0.14) | 50.1% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.93% ( 0.12) | 72.07% ( -0.12) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.58% ( 0.1) | 19.42% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.75% ( 0.16) | 51.25% ( -0.16) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% ( 0.02) | 35.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.57% ( 0.02) | 72.43% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 51.54% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 23.84% |
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