SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 15.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brackley Town | Draw | Gloucester City |
62.24% ( 4.39) | 22% ( -1.12) | 15.76% ( -3.28) |
| Both teams to score 46.89% ( -2.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.94% ( -0.58) | 50.06% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% ( -0.52) | 72.03% ( 0.52) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( 1.29) | 15.54% ( -1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.52% ( 2.35) | 44.48% ( -2.35) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.52% ( -4.36) | 44.47% ( 4.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.49% ( -3.76) | 80.51% ( 3.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brackley Town | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.83) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 1.26)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 7.43% ( 1.07)3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.62)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.22)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.28)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.07% Total : 62.23% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.57) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.54)Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.99% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.57) 1-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.8)0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.55)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.39)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.3)Other @ 1.46% Total : 15.76% |
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