SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrington Town win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warrington Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warrington Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Warrington Town |
30.49% ( -0.21) | 26.53% ( -0.04) | 42.98% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.39% ( 0.07) | 53.61% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.89% ( 0.06) | 75.11% ( -0.06) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% ( -0.11) | 32.2% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.31% ( -0.13) | 68.69% ( 0.13) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( 0.15) | 24.73% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% ( 0.21) | 59.28% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Warrington Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.49% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 42.97% |
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