SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Darlington |
41.94% ( -8.34) | 26.93% ( 1.51) | 31.13% ( 6.83) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.07% ( -2.01) | 54.93% ( 2.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.78% ( -1.69) | 76.22% ( 1.68) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( -4.79) | 25.86% ( 4.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.17% ( -6.96) | 60.83% ( 6.95) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.56% ( 4.37) | 32.44% ( -4.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.04% ( 4.64) | 68.95% ( -4.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.73) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.76)2-0 @ 7.67% ( -1.73)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.99)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -1.42)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.58)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.73)Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.94% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.7) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.63)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 1.69) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 1.16)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 1.44)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.69)0-3 @ 2% ( 0.7)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.26)Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.13% |
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