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National League North | Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Lincoln Road
P'boro Sports
2 - 0
Darlington
Gallagher (35'), C. (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-2 Darlington
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawDarlington
41.94% (-8.338 -8.34) 26.93% (1.509 1.51) 31.13% (6.828 6.83)
Both teams to score 50.09% (0.21 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-2.009 -2.01)54.93% (2.008 2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.78% (-1.685 -1.69)76.22% (1.684 1.68)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (-4.791 -4.79)25.86% (4.791 4.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.17% (-6.955 -6.96)60.83% (6.954 6.95)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (4.366 4.37)32.44% (-4.366 -4.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (4.635 4.64)68.95% (-4.637 -4.64)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 41.94%
    Darlington 31.13%
    Draw 26.93%
Peterborough SportsDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.73 -0.73)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.762 -0.76)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-1.731 -1.73)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.986 -0.99)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-1.423 -1.42)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.247 -0.25)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.583 -0.58)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.731 -0.73)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 41.94%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.7 0.7)
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.634 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.165 0.17)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.44% (1.693 1.69)
1-2 @ 7.19% (1.157 1.16)
0-2 @ 5.32% (1.442 1.44)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.689 0.69)
0-3 @ 2% (0.704 0.7)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.26 0.26)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.13%

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Form Guide
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 0-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-2 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-0 Southport
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-0 Banbury
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 3-2 P'boro Sports
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-2 Darlington
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-0 Blyth Spartans
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-2 King's Lynn
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 4-0 Darlington
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-1 Gloucester City
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League North

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