SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 10.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 3-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Gloucester City |
70.97% ( -0.13) | 18.07% ( 0.07) | 10.96% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.98% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.97% ( -0.19) | 44.03% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.59% ( -0.18) | 66.41% ( 0.18) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.87% ( -0.09) | 11.12% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.44% ( -0.19) | 35.55% ( 0.19) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.74% ( -0.02) | 48.26% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.58% ( -0.02) | 83.42% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 2-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 70.96% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.44% Other @ 0.68% Total : 18.07% | 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 10.96% |
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