SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
43.29% ( -1.74) | 24.76% ( 0.17) | 31.95% ( 1.57) |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.45% ( -0.1) | 45.54% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.13% ( -0.09) | 67.87% ( 0.09) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( -0.81) | 21.09% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.08% ( -1.28) | 53.92% ( 1.28) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( 0.97) | 27.17% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.43% ( 1.25) | 62.57% ( -1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.29% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.95% |
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