SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
48.26% ( 0.02) | 25% ( 0.01) | 26.74% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.59% ( -0.08) | 49.4% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.55% ( -0.07) | 71.45% ( 0.07) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( -0.02) | 20.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.01% ( -0.04) | 52.99% ( 0.03) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( -0.07) | 32.84% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.59% ( -0.08) | 69.4% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.25% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 26.74% |
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