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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Buxton |
39.57% ( -0.14) | 25.71% ( 0.03) | 34.71% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( -0.12) | 49.09% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.84% ( -0.1) | 71.16% ( 0.11) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% ( -0.12) | 24.45% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.11% ( -0.18) | 58.89% ( 0.18) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( 0.01) | 27.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.41% ( 0.02) | 62.59% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.57% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.71% |
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