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National League North | Gameweek 43
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lincoln Road

P'boro Sports
1 - 0
Gloucester City

Jarvis (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston 2-1 P'boro Sports
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Brackley Town
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawGloucester City
46.66% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05) 23.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 29.61% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.79% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (0.084000000000003 0.08)41.94% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (0.084000000000003 0.08)64.35% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (0.016000000000005 0.02)18.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.8% (0.024999999999999 0.02)49.2% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09% (0.082999999999998 0.08)26.9% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.77% (0.10700000000001 0.11)62.23% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 46.66%
    Gloucester City 29.61%
    Draw 23.73%
Peterborough SportsDrawGloucester City
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 46.66%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.61%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Boston 2-1 P'boro Sports
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-3 Warrington Town
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-2 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-3 Buxton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-4 Hereford
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Brackley Town
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 3-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 1-2 Gloucester City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-2 Tamworth
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 3-7 Boston
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North


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