Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.