Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 74.82%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 9.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
