Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spennymoor Town in this match.
