Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 54.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.25%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Hereford United win it was 1-0 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.