SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
53.47% ( 2.5) | 24.44% ( -0.42) | 22.09% ( -2.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.27% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% ( -0.29) | 51.15% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% ( -0.25) | 73% ( 0.25) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( 0.89) | 19.07% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.33% ( 1.45) | 50.67% ( -1.44) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% ( -2.09) | 37.89% ( 2.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.34% ( -2.09) | 74.66% ( 2.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.64)2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.47% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.44)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.09% |
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