SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Needham Market had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Needham Market win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Needham Market |
53.61% ( 0.27) | 24.29% ( -0.07) | 22.1% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.74% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.46% ( 0.09) | 50.54% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.54% ( 0.08) | 72.46% ( -0.08) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% ( 0.14) | 18.78% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.81% ( 0.23) | 50.19% ( -0.23) |
| Needham Market Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.47% ( -0.14) | 37.53% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.69% ( -0.14) | 74.31% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Needham Market |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 53.6% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.1% |
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