SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Southport had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Hereford United |
35.36% ( -0.01) | 26.26% ( -0.04) | 38.39% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.29% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.66% ( 0.18) | 51.34% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.84% ( 0.16) | 73.16% ( -0.16) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( 0.08) | 27.87% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.52% ( 0.11) | 63.48% ( -0.11) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( 0.11) | 26.12% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% ( 0.15) | 61.18% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.36% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.39% |
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