Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
45.94% ( 0.67) | 26.02% ( -0.09) | 28.04% ( -0.58) |
Both teams to score 51.19% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.26% ( 0.05) | 52.74% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.62% ( 0.04) | 74.37% ( -0.04) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.08% ( 0.33) | 22.92% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.32% ( 0.49) | 56.68% ( -0.49) |
Peterborough Sports Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.41% ( -0.42) | 33.58% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.77% ( -0.46) | 70.23% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Hereford United | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.04% |
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