SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Banbury United had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Banbury United win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Hereford United |
23.72% ( -1.24) | 24.54% ( -0.07) | 51.74% ( 1.31) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.07% ( -0.78) | 49.93% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.08% ( -0.7) | 71.91% ( 0.7) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% ( -1.51) | 35.67% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.55% ( -1.59) | 72.44% ( 1.59) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% ( 0.22) | 19.28% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.98% ( 0.36) | 51.01% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.94% Total : 23.72% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 51.74% |
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