SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Chorley |
33.34% ( -0.09) | 26.32% ( -0.03) | 40.33% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.08% ( 0.08) | 51.92% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.33% ( 0.07) | 73.67% ( -0.07) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( -0.02) | 29.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% ( -0.02) | 65.41% ( 0.02) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% ( 0.09) | 25.33% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.88% ( 0.13) | 60.11% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.34% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.33% |
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