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National League North | Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lincoln Road
C

P'boro Sports
1 - 3
Chorley

Jarvis (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ellis (41'), Maguire (45+4'), Ubaezuonu (48')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: King's Lynn 0-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Banbury
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawChorley
33.34% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 26.32% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 40.33% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.71% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08% (0.076999999999998 0.08)51.92% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (0.065999999999999 0.07)73.67% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.41% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)65.41% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (0.091999999999999 0.09)25.33% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (0.128 0.13)60.11% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 33.34%
    Chorley 40.33%
    Draw 26.32%
Peterborough SportsDrawChorley
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.34%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.02% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: King's Lynn 0-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Gloucester City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 2-1 P'boro Sports
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-3 Warrington Town
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Banbury
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 1-0 Chorley
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 3-1 Chorley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-0 Blyth Spartans
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-3 Chorley
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 0-3 Boston
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North


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