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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Newport County |
41.57% ( 0.96) | 25.46% ( 0.1) | 32.97% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.46% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.67% ( -0.7) | 48.33% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% ( -0.64) | 70.47% ( 0.65) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( 0.17) | 23.1% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.05% ( 0.25) | 56.95% ( -0.24) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( -0.99) | 27.88% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% ( -1.28) | 63.49% ( 1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.57% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.97% |
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