Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kettering Town in this match.
