Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 68.28%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 13.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.