Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 68.28%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 13.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Chorley	Draw	AFC Telford United
68.28%	18.32%	13.41%

Both teams to score 53.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.21%

38.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.9%

61.1%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.63%

10.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.12%

33.87%

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.19%

40.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.61%

77.39%

Score Analysis

Chorley 68.28%

AFC Telford United 13.41%

Draw 18.32%

Chorley	Draw	AFC Telford United
2-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 9.74% 1-0 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 8.21% 3-1 @ 7.36% 4-0 @ 4.65% 4-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 3.3% 5-0 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 4.52% Total : 68.28%	1-1 @ 8.6% 2-2 @ 4.37% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.32%	1-2 @ 3.85% 0-1 @ 3.79% 0-2 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.3% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.61% Total : 13.41%