Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
