SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
37.14% ( 0.38) | 28.51% ( -0.02) | 34.34% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 46.2% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.82% ( 0.05) | 60.17% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.63% ( 0.04) | 80.37% ( -0.04) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( 0.26) | 31.12% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.55% ( 0.31) | 67.44% ( -0.31) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( -0.22) | 32.92% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% ( -0.24) | 69.5% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 37.13% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.5% | 0-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.34% |
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