Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
Result | ||
Marine AFC | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
27.2% ( -0.02) | 26.82% ( -0.07) | 45.98% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.29% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.77% ( 0.23) | 56.23% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.72% ( 0.19) | 77.27% ( -0.19) |
Marine AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.88% ( 0.1) | 36.12% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.1% ( 0.11) | 72.9% ( -0.11) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.59% ( 0.15) | 24.41% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.17% ( 0.21) | 58.83% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Marine AFC | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 27.2% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.98% |
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