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National League North | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Marine Travel Arena
SU

Marine AFC
1 - 2
Scunthorpe

Whelan (17')
Butler (36'), Whelan (62'), Wardle (80'), Murphy (85'), Holmes (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Whitehall (81' pen., 90+3')
Kelly (42'), Boyce (74'), Roberts (82')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Marine AFC and Scunthorpe United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Marine AFC
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 0-0 Alfreton
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.

Result
Marine AFCDrawScunthorpe United
27.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 26.82% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 45.98% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.29% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.77% (0.231 0.23)56.23% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.72% (0.186 0.19)77.27% (-0.19 -0.19)
Marine AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88% (0.103 0.1)36.12% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1% (0.107 0.11)72.9% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (0.146 0.15)24.41% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (0.207 0.21)58.83% (-0.211 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Marine AFC 27.2%
    Scunthorpe United 45.98%
    Draw 26.82%
Marine AFCDrawScunthorpe United
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.45% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.57% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.55%
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 27.2%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 12.43% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 45.98%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Alfreton 1-0 Marine AFC
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-0 Marine AFC
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Marine AFC 2-2 Spennymoor
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Marine AFC 2-0 Needham Market
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Marine AFC 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 4-0 Marine AFC
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 0-0 Alfreton
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-0 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 0-2 Scunthorpe
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-3 Buxton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 3-2 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 0-0 Radcliffe
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League North


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