SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Alfreton Town |
51.01% ( -0.06) | 26.07% ( 0.01) | 22.92% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.59% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.5% ( 0.01) | 56.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.5% ( 0.01) | 77.5% ( -0.01) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( -0.02) | 22.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( -0.03) | 55.65% ( 0.03) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.91% ( 0.05) | 40.09% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.27% ( 0.05) | 76.73% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 51% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 8.91% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 1.33% Total : 22.92% |
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