SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | King's Lynn Town | 7 | 9 | 17 |
| 2 | Banbury United | 7 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Fylde | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Leamington FC | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Alfreton Town | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Chorley | 7 | 4 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that King's Lynn Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
47.19% ( 0.29) | 25.61% ( -0.1) | 27.2% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% ( 0.26) | 51.59% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% ( 0.23) | 73.38% ( -0.23) |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( 0.24) | 21.86% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.9% ( 0.36) | 55.1% ( -0.36) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% ( -0.02) | 33.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.71% ( -0.02) | 70.28% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 47.19% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.2% |
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