SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for King's Lynn Town had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest King's Lynn Town win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Chorley |
31.55% ( 0.89) | 25.55% ( -0.3) | 42.9% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 54.62% ( 1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.82% ( 1.59) | 49.17% ( -1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% ( 1.42) | 71.23% ( -1.42) |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( 1.41) | 29.22% ( -1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.82% ( 1.69) | 65.17% ( -1.7) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( 0.4) | 22.82% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.46% ( 0.59) | 56.53% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.55% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.9% |
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