Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
48.95% ( -0.02)	25.23% ( 0.01)	25.81% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.87% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.98% (

-0.05)

51.02% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.12% (

-0.04)

72.88% (

0.04)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.14% (

-0.03)

20.86% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.45% (

-0.04)

53.55% (

0.04)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.54% (

-0.02)

34.45% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.83% (

-0.02)

71.16% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Chorley 48.95%

Scarborough Athletic 25.81%

Draw 25.23%

Chorley	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 48.95%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 25.81%