SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for South Shields had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest South Shields win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| South Shields | Draw | Chorley |
36.65% ( -0.22) | 25.89% ( 0.03) | 37.46% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.62% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.32% ( -0.11) | 49.68% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.31% ( -0.1) | 71.69% ( 0.1) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( -0.18) | 26.32% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% ( -0.23) | 61.45% ( 0.24) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( 0.05) | 25.86% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.16% ( 0.07) | 60.84% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Shields | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.65% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.46% |
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