SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Boston United |
45.63% ( 0.03) | 24.94% ( -0.01) | 29.43% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.51% ( 0.03) | 47.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.3% ( 0.02) | 69.7% ( -0.02) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.14% ( 0.02) | 20.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.45% ( 0.04) | 53.55% ( -0.03) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% | 29.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% ( -0) | 65.91% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Boston United |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.63% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 29.43% |
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