SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Buxton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leamington FC | Draw | Buxton |
27.72% ( -3.07) | 26.08% ( 0.36) | 46.2% ( 2.7) |
| Both teams to score 50.81% ( -2.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( -2.96) | 53.13% ( 2.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( -2.58) | 74.71% ( 2.57) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% ( -3.8) | 34.04% ( 3.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.27% ( -4.32) | 70.72% ( 4.31) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( -0) | 22.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.24% ( 0) | 56.75% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leamington FC | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.63)2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.51)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.38)3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.35)Other @ 2.28% Total : 27.72% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.87)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.46)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( 1.29) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.94)1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.46)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.92% Total : 46.2% |
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