Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fylde in this match.
Result | ||
Fylde | Draw | Buxton |
56.68% ( 0.51) | 22.54% ( -0.26) | 20.77% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 54.39% ( 0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.23% ( 0.81) | 44.76% ( -0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.87% ( 0.78) | 67.12% ( -0.78) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.41% ( 0.45) | 15.58% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.45% ( 0.84) | 44.55% ( -0.84) |
Buxton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.43% ( 0.21) | 35.57% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.66% ( 0.22) | 72.33% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Fylde | Draw | Buxton |
1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 56.68% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.54% | 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 20.77% |
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