SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kettering Town | Draw | Buxton |
35.07% ( -0.04) | 25.21% ( -0) | 39.72% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.82% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( 0.02) | 46.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( 0.02) | 69.05% ( -0.01) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( -0.01) | 25.87% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.14% ( -0.02) | 60.85% ( 0.02) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( 0.03) | 23.35% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.68% ( 0.04) | 57.31% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kettering Town | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 35.07% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.72% |
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