SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Hereford United |
45.65% ( -0.07) | 25.58% ( 0) | 28.78% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.07% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.47% ( 0.04) | 50.53% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.55% ( 0.03) | 72.45% ( -0.03) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( -0.02) | 22.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.52% ( -0.02) | 55.48% ( 0.02) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.13% ( 0.07) | 31.87% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.69% ( 0.08) | 68.3% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.78% |
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