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National League North | Gameweek 29
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands
Buxton
0 - 1
Hereford
 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thompson-Sommers (55' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Buxton
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawHereford United
45.65% (-0.073 -0.07) 25.58% (0.0019999999999989 0) 28.78% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Both teams to score 53.07% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (0.035999999999994 0.04)50.53% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)72.45% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)22.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.52% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)55.48% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (0.067999999999998 0.07)31.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69% (0.082000000000001 0.08)68.3% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 45.65%
    Hereford United 28.78%
    Draw 25.58%
BuxtonDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 45.65%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 28.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fylde 1-0 Buxton
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-2 Telford
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-2 Chorley
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-1 Buxton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-0 Alfreton
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 Buxton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-1 Hereford
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-1 Kidderminster
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-1 Chorley
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League North

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