SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Kettering Town |
55.94% ( -0.15) | 23.9% ( 0.01) | 20.16% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.21% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.81% ( 0.1) | 51.19% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.97% ( 0.09) | 73.03% ( -0.09) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.85% ( -0.02) | 18.14% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.88% ( -0.03) | 49.11% ( 0.03) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.12% ( 0.19) | 39.87% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.46% ( 0.18) | 76.54% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Kettering Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 6% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 55.92% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.33% Total : 20.16% |
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