SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 59.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | AFC Telford United |
59.96% ( -0.02) | 22.76% ( 0.04) | 17.28% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.71% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.37% ( -0.16) | 50.63% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.46% ( -0.14) | 72.54% ( 0.14) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( -0.06) | 16.51% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.76% ( -0.11) | 46.24% ( 0.11) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.14% ( -0.11) | 42.86% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.83% ( -0.1) | 79.17% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | AFC Telford United |
| 1-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.89% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 59.95% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.76% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.54% 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 17.28% |
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