SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Leamington FC |
50.34% ( 0.01) | 24.99% ( -0.03) | 24.67% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.06% ( 0.16) | 50.94% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.19% ( 0.14) | 72.81% ( -0.14) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( 0.07) | 20.24% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.42% ( 0.11) | 52.57% ( -0.11) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% ( 0.11) | 35.39% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% ( 0.11) | 72.14% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Leamington FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 50.34% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 24.67% |
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