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National League North | Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley
2 - 0
Hereford

Ustabasi (51'), Hall (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spennymoor 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Kettering
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawHereford United
50.46% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 24.96% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 24.58% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.53% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.1% (0.088000000000001 0.09)50.9% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (0.076999999999998 0.08)72.78% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (0.063000000000002 0.06)20.18% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.52% (0.101 0.1)52.47% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (0.015000000000001 0.02)35.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (0.015999999999998 0.02)72.21% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 50.45%
    Hereford United 24.58%
    Draw 24.96%
ChorleyDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 11.44% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 50.45%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 24.58%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-3 Boston
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-2 Buxton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-0 Kidderminster
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-0 Chorley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Chorley
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Kettering
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-2 Chester
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-1 Hereford
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 1-3 Hereford
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Alfreton
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North


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