SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Hereford United |
50.46% ( 0.07) | 24.96% ( -0.03) | 24.58% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.1% ( 0.09) | 50.9% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.22% ( 0.08) | 72.78% ( -0.08) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% ( 0.06) | 20.18% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.52% ( 0.1) | 52.47% ( -0.1) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.55% ( 0.02) | 35.45% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.79% ( 0.02) | 72.21% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.45% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 24.58% |
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