SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 61.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Southport had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leamington FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leamington FC | Draw | Southport |
61.43% ( 0.62) | 22.2% ( -0.43) | 16.38% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.61% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.2% ( 1.42) | 49.81% ( -1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.2% ( 1.25) | 71.81% ( -1.25) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.28% ( 0.7) | 15.73% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.18% ( 1.27) | 44.82% ( -1.27) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.49% ( 0.61) | 43.51% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.28% ( 0.5) | 79.72% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leamington FC | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.07% Total : 61.42% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.4)2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.59% Total : 16.38% |
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