Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Southport had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Southport win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
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