SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 47.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Southport had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Southport |
47.88% ( -0) | 26.15% ( 0.08) | 25.97% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.27% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.51% ( -0.38) | 54.49% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.15% ( -0.32) | 75.84% ( 0.31) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( -0.16) | 22.77% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.54% ( -0.24) | 56.46% ( 0.23) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.8% ( -0.28) | 36.2% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.02% ( -0.29) | 72.98% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 47.87% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.97% |
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